It is hard to understand Bush's presidential priorities. The United States has lots of serious problems to deal with: poverty, health care, sectoral underemployment, and of course a pretty expensive war with an uncertain outcome. But the centerpiece policy items lately have been illegal immigration and a ban on same-sex marriages (and by extension, I suppose, polygamous marriages).
On the immigration issue, the debate is surreal. It is, after all, precisely the fact that some immigration is illegal that makes the labor we derive from it so cheap. These are workers who want to get paid in cash, expect no benefits, and generally refrain from accepting social services lest they be discovered and deported. If we made it legal to hire them, we'd force their employers to pay them a minimum wage, remit social security and medicare taxes, and possibly withhold income taxes. We'd have to offer the workers access to the same kind of benefits others would be entitled to, including medical services, education, etc.
There would be all kinds of interesting economic effects from this. Fewer workers would be employed, and they would probably take less money home. It would also drive wages down for low-skilled labor that had to be documented. On the other hand, these workers would not be treated like outlaws; they would be protected by OSHA and other laws; and they could create a more vocal and visible voice in the public discourse.
If I were going to guess, most illegal immigrants prefer the status quo. They get paid enough to justify the risks of crossing the border illegally and staying here. They have determined that emergency room medicine in the US still beats the medical care they can expect at home. By bringing natural-born Americans into the world, they are making lasting ties in their host country. They may not be able to influence their working conditions by organizing against them, but since their labor is fungible, it's not hard for them to walk away from one really bad employer to another who is better.
The employers of illegal immigrants similarly like the status quo. It's cheap labor, and the market for it is very liquid.
The labor is an export market for the originating countries that brings in currency; and it's a source of comparative advantage for the U.S., since it makes up for a high-wage economy in those sectors that are labor intensive.
So, why is Bush, Congress, and everyone getting in the middle of this? Wouldn't it be better to just leave this thing alone, even if we know it's a bit absurd?
The cynic in me says that Bush is trying to feed xenophobia in an election year by reinforcing the "us vs. them" mentality he's been fostering since 9/11. The problem with our society, we are being led to believe, is not the declining purchasing power of the middle class; or a decay in educational standards; or the environment, or anything else the Republican regime has allowed to happen. No, it's illegal immigrants and gay people who want to get married.
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